Friday, December 21, 2007

The Long Haul

The nominees may not emerge quickly--bad news for Bloomberg
Howard Fineman

You know the conventional wisdom about the 2008 presidential race. It goes like this: we'll know the identity of the two parties' presidential nominees by the first week of February. After earlier-than-ever voting in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, and the thermonuclear explosion of Mega-Giga-Tuesday on Feb. 5, there will be only one person left standing in each party, and we'll quickly get sucked into an absurdly long, eight-month "fall" general-election-campaign season.

Well, it looks increasingly like the CW is wrong. Yes, it's still possible that someone will run the table that quickly. Sen. Barack Obama (astonishingly) has the best odds of doing so.

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