The Media Created "Delusion" That Hillary Can Win
Kos, Daily Kos takes a closer look at the Demographics:
Obama's percent of the vote:
OH PA60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
College 51 49
Catholic 36 31
Protestant 36 53
Chuck Todd Projections:
'The Pledged Delegate Race Is Over – Impossible for Obama to Lose His Lead'
Clinton's Momentum and Superdelegates
Clinton Money Woes and The End Game
| Total votes | Clinton | Obama | Projection |
NC | 1,500,000 | 675,000 | 825,000 | 45%-55% |
IN | 900,000 | 460,000 | 440,000 | 51%-49% |
WV | 400,000 | 240,000 | 160,000 | 60%-40% |
KY | 500,000 | 300,000 | 200,000 | 60%-40% |
OR | 600,000 | 270,000 | 330,000 | 45%-55% |
SD | 100,000 | 45,000 | 55,000 | 45%-55% |
MT | 125,000 | 56,250 | 68,750 | 45%-55% |
TOTAL | | 2,046,250 | 2,078,750 | |
So those remaining contests, per this conservative projection, bring Obama’s popular vote lead to 515,629. If you add Florida, that gives Clinton almost another 300,000 more. So you if you include the Sunshine State, Obama will still lead her by about 215,000 popular votes. No wonder Clinton herself decided to start talking about Michigan again, because she can't "win" the popular vote without it. The problem: Even many Clinton supporters believe it’s not a valid measurement.
Whats most important numbers in the PA race is Hillary campaign is in the red and the media is reporting it.
Marc Ambinber is following the money:
- She has no money.
More important than anything she'll do over the next few days, Clinton will try to use tonight's results to raise money through the net. (Notice the banner behind the stage at her victory party. It says HillaryClinton.com for a reason.)
If the margin of victory is big enough to allow her campaign to raise two or three million dollars in 48 hours, then her supporters are convinced that she still has a shot. Her margin was big enough.
If she can't raise money off of her margin, then her supporters are resigned to her defeat.
She needs money to continue. If she runs out of money, she won't be able to continue.
No comments:
Post a Comment