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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

New Poll: With A Little Work Looks Like A Obama Landslide To We

NBC/WSJ Poll: Change Vs Experience

Some nuggets from the new NBC/WSJ poll pointing to this being a change election:

59% say it's more important to have a president who will focus on progress and moving America forward, versus 37% who would rather the president protect what has made America great...

What’s more, 54% said the statement that "This is a time when it is important to look for a person who will bring greater changes to the current policies even if he is less experienced and tested," identified more with their personal view, while 42% said the statement that "This is a time when it is important to look for a more experienced and tested person even if he brings fewer changes to the current policies," was more in line with their view of the race.

Presidential choice
5/08 (4/08)
Barack Obama 47 (46)
John McCain 41 (43)

Who do you think will win?
Barack Obama 54
John McCain 30

Presidential/VP choice
Barack Obama/Hllary Clinton 51
John McCain/Mitt Romney 42

Hmmm... looks like a change election to me. Looks like a Democratic year, too.


White suburban women, who make up 10% of the electorate, prefer a Democrat to be president by 11 points, 47% to 36%, the poll shows. If Sen. Clinton were the nominee and the election were held now, she would beat Sen. McCain by 14 points, 51% to 37%. Yet Sen. Obama loses to Sen. McCain by six points, 44% to 38%, among the same group.

Obama has more work to do here. Here, too:

White men make up 40% of the electorate, and the Arizona senator has a 20-point lead over Sen. Obama among them, 55% to 35%. The pollsters say race doesn't explain the gap; recent Democratic nominees, all white men, lost big among white men.

All in all, a good baseline look at where things stand today.

Update [2008-6-11 19:11:43 by DemFromCT]::

In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19).

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