Some nuggets from the new NBC/WSJ poll pointing to this being a change election:
59% say it's more important to have a president who will focus on progress and moving America forward, versus 37% who would rather the president protect what has made America great...
What’s more, 54% said the statement that "This is a time when it is important to look for a person who will bring greater changes to the current policies even if he is less experienced and tested," identified more with their personal view, while 42% said the statement that "This is a time when it is important to look for a more experienced and tested person even if he brings fewer changes to the current policies," was more in line with their view of the race.
Barack Obama 47 (46)
John McCain 41 (43)
Who do you think will win?
Barack Obama 54
John McCain 30
Barack Obama/Hllary Clinton 51
John McCain/Mitt Romney 42
Hmmm... looks like a change election to me. Looks like a Democratic year, too.
White suburban women, who make up 10% of the electorate, prefer a Democrat to be president by 11 points, 47% to 36%, the poll shows. If Sen. Clinton were the nominee and the election were held now, she would beat Sen. McCain by 14 points, 51% to 37%. Yet Sen. Obama loses to Sen. McCain by six points, 44% to 38%, among the same group.
Obama has more work to do here. Here, too:
White men make up 40% of the electorate, and the Arizona senator has a 20-point lead over Sen. Obama among them, 55% to 35%. The pollsters say race doesn't explain the gap; recent Democratic nominees, all white men, lost big among white men.
All in all, a good baseline look at where things stand today.
Update [2008-6-11 19:11:43 by DemFromCT]::
In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19).