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Thursday, June 12, 2008

NEW POLLS


North Carolina

Rasmussen. 6/10. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/8 results)

McCain (R) 45 (48)
Obama (D) 43 (45)

The internals:

6/10 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 45 45 45 88 16 36
Obama 43 43 43 6 76 39

5/8 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 48 52 44 81 20 49
Obama 45 39 49 15 71 40



Washington


Yesterday we saw a Rasmussen poll showing Obama defeating McCain 53-35 in Washington. Another poll by SUSA confirms the massive lead.

SurvyeUSA. 6/7-9. Likely voters. MoE 3.9% (5/16-18 results)

McCain (R) 39 (36)
Obama (D) 56 (52)

SUSA gives us better internals than Ras, so we can get a better sense of who is supporting who.

6/9 Total Men Wom Whi Bla His Asi <$50K>$50K
McCain 39 44 35 41 5 33 35 40 39
Obama 56 51 60 54 95 63 56 54 57

5/18 Total Men Wom Whi Bla His Asi <$50K>$50K
McCain 36 37 35 41 12 17 13 na na
Obama 52 51 53 49 87 69 58 na na


Wisconsin

University of Wisconsin. 6/8-10. Probably voters. MoE 4.5% (4/15-24 results)

McCain (R) 37 (43)
Obama (D) 50 (47)

More evidence of Obama's unity bounce. That's a 9-point swing in less than two months. Overall, the poll composite in Wisconsin is looking fantastic -- 47.2-40.9 in favor of Obama, and look at the delicious trends:




Iowa

Rasmussen. 6/10. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/13 results)

McCain (R) 38 (42)
Obama (D) 45 (44)

The internals:

6/10 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 38 45 32 82 10 29
Obama 45 38 51 8 77 44

5/13 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 42 46 39 77 18 38
Obama 44 42 47 11 71 45


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