Early voting Numbers

The Obama campaign manager says McCain would have to win 15% of the Democratic vote, 95% of the Republican and 60% of the independent vote to take the battleground.

"It's a daunting task when you kind of wipe away the spin here and look at the facts."

Adds that even though the stats don't look good for their rival, they'll continue to match their campaigning effort in the state.

National field director Jon Carson and battleground state director Jen O'Malley also weigh in on the state of the race.

North Carolina – 2008 to date

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM 520,064 56%

REP 254,515 27%

UNA 155,476 17%



Nevada – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem 107,122 53%

Rep 63,577 32%

Other 30,938 15%


Iowa – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem 132,882 50%

Rep 76,689 29%

Other 53,787 20%



New Mexico – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem 84,123 56%

Rep 49,145 33%

Other 16,484 11%


Colorado – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem 184,352 39%

Rep 181,424 38%

Other 110,284 23%


Florida – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem 650,363 43%

Rep 651,700 43%

Other 225,980 14%



New and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans:



Colorado – 2008 to date

There are 233,878 new Democrats – 101,595 (43%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 195,794 new Republicans – 70,248 (36%) have requested mail in ballots.

20% of all Democrats voting by mail have never voted in a general election before.



North Carolina – 2008 to date

There are 816,801 new Democrats – 70,561 (9%) have voted early.

There are 491,106 sporadic Democrats – 91,758 (19%) have voted early.

There are 533,490 new Republicans – 30,676 (6%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 397,719 sporadic Republicans – 56,418 (14%) have voted early.

18% of all Democrats voting early are new Democrats who have never voted in a general election before and there are a lot more New Democrats.

15% of all Republican voting early are new Republicans


Nevada – 2008 to date

There are 170,672 new Democrats – 21,566 (13%) have voted early.

There are 69,979 sporadic Democrats – 13,305 (19%) have voted early.

There are 98,262 new Republicans – 8,243 (8%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 52,019 sporadic Republicans – 7,256 (14%) have voted early.

40% of all Democrats voting early are new or Sporadic Democrats

30% of all Republican voting early are new or Sporadic Republicans


Iowa – 2008 to date

There are 103,449 new Democrats – 12,874 (12%) have voted early.

There are 92,479 sporadic Democrats – 20,686 (22%) have voted early.

There are 73,725 new Republicans – 5,414 (7%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 71,647 sporadic Republicans – 11,577 (16%) have voted early.